- Nokia’s latest earnings show uneven recovery as traditional operator spending remains weak
- Management is betting that AI-driven networking and data centre demand can reset its growth story
What happened: Mixed numbers, louder message
Nokia’s latest quarterly results delivered an awkward mix of stabilisation and strain. Revenue for the final quarter came in slightly ahead of expectations, but the full-year picture remained pressured, with cautious guidance reflecting ongoing weakness in telecoms operator spending.
The backdrop is familiar. Mobile and fixed-line operators across Europe, North America and parts of Asia continue to rein in capital expenditure after the 5G rollout peak, delaying large network upgrades. For vendors built around this cycle, growth has become harder to come by.
Against that backdrop, Nokia’s leadership used the earnings call to double down on a strategic narrative it has been sharpening for several quarters: artificial intelligence as a catalyst for renewed relevance. Management argued that AI workloads are reshaping network requirements, driving demand for high-capacity, low-latency connectivity inside data centres and between cloud sites.
The company highlighted its IP routing and optical networking businesses, which serve hyperscalers and large enterprises, as relative bright spots. These units are increasingly framed not as telecoms infrastructure, but as foundational plumbing for AI-heavy cloud architectures. Cost discipline also remained central, with ongoing restructuring intended to protect margins while the portfolio shifts.
Nokia’s message was clear. While near-term operator demand is unlikely to rebound sharply, the company believes it can ride a structural transition towards cloud-centric, AI-driven networking — provided it moves fast enough.
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Why it’s important
Nokia’s positioning matters because it reflects a broader inflection point for legacy telecoms equipment makers. AI investment is real and accelerating, but much of it flows first to data centres, cloud platforms and specialist silicon suppliers, not traditional network vendors.
For companies like Nokia, the challenge is strategic as much as technological. Selling to hyperscalers demands different economics, faster product cycles and tighter integration with cloud software stacks. Margins can be thinner, but volumes and long-term relevance may be higher.
From a financial perspective, the AI narrative also functions as a bridge. It helps explain why investors should tolerate muted near-term growth in exchange for exposure to longer-term infrastructure demand linked to generative AI and large-scale computing. The risk, however, is execution. Many peers are making similar claims, and differentiation will hinge on whether products translate into sustained orders.
In that sense, Nokia’s mixed quarter is less a verdict than a warning shot. The window for reinvention is open, but not indefinitely.
