- Analysts forecast European telcos will see earnings grow faster than revenues in 2026 as operators intensify cost‑reduction measures.
- The focus on efficiency reflects pressure from high capital expenditure and competitive markets but may slow technology investment.
What happened: telcos pivot to efficiency amid slow growth
European telecommunications companies are set to enter a phase in 2026 where cost cutting will be a principal driver of earnings growth, according to new forecasts. Analysts indicate that while revenues for operators such as Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefónica, and others are expected to grow modestly, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) could rise faster as firms reduce operational costs and rationalize spending.
The trend comes against a backdrop of a challenging investment environment for network operators. Capital expenditure remains high as telcos continue upgrading mobile networks—including the deployment of 5G standalone services and expansion of fibre infrastructure — but revenue growth from traditional services has slowed, prompting a renewed focus on cost efficiency and automation. Analysts project that EBITDA growth may outstrip revenue growth by around 0.5 percentage points in 2026, partly due to reduced spending needs as some fiber rollouts mature.
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Why it’s important
This shift towards cost‑driven earnings growth illustrates how structural pressures are influencing the telecoms sector in Europe. With competitive pressure from digital platforms and diminishing returns from legacy communications services, operators are prioritizing strategies such as workforce optimization, network automation, and process simplification to protect profitability.
However, there are broader implications. Heavy emphasis on cost control can limit investment in new technologies that might drive future growth—such as next‑generation mobile infrastructure or AI‑enabled services—especially if CAPEX budgets are constrained. Operators face the challenge of balancing efficiency with the need to remain technologically competitive in a landscape shaped by evolving customer demands and emerging technologies.
Furthermore, while EBITDA growth may improve in the short term through cost measures, long‑term value creation depends on innovation, infrastructure expansion, and service diversification—areas where telcos historically struggle to capture value compared with hyperscale cloud and digital service providers.
As 2026 unfolds, the industry will be watched for how effectively it can combine disciplined cost management with strategic investment in future‑oriented technologies and services.
